This would trigger NATO Article 5, and I do not think that Russia can afford to have another frontline, irrespective of the US's likely abstention. After all, the UK and France are nuclear powers, and Russia's economy is already down the toilet - so another war would threaten Putin's survival (he does not care about Russia, but about his…
This would trigger NATO Article 5, and I do not think that Russia can afford to have another frontline, irrespective of the US's likely abstention. After all, the UK and France are nuclear powers, and Russia's economy is already down the toilet - so another war would threaten Putin's survival (he does not care about Russia, but about his own and, perhaps to a certain extent, his family's well-being). However, if Ukraine is given up by the US, Putin will use his then renewed and increasing power to destabilise more and more countries of the EU. Hungary is essentially a Russian ally, the same seems to apply more and more to Slovakia even though there is more opposition than in Hungary. Also, most radical parties (in Germany, Italy, France, Austria, Romania, Bulgaria,...) are very pro-Russian/Putin. I'd rather expect these countries to adopt Russian policies and lose strength as a Union, in the NATO, and this is cheaper and perhaps more effective than waging another war. However, on the short run, I do expect Russia to start another invasion of Ukraine from Belarus. That country is much closer to Kiev and the industry centres of Ukraine. Russia will try to get hold of Ukraine, because the current US administration will most likely abandon it, unfortunately and very, very sadly, blaming Zelensky for his refusal to accept Putin keeping the occupied territories, not returning the stolen children of Ukrainian parents, and not paying restitutions. Already, Trump has never condemned Putin, but rather Ukraine for the war...what do you expect?
This would trigger NATO Article 5, and I do not think that Russia can afford to have another frontline, irrespective of the US's likely abstention. After all, the UK and France are nuclear powers, and Russia's economy is already down the toilet - so another war would threaten Putin's survival (he does not care about Russia, but about his own and, perhaps to a certain extent, his family's well-being). However, if Ukraine is given up by the US, Putin will use his then renewed and increasing power to destabilise more and more countries of the EU. Hungary is essentially a Russian ally, the same seems to apply more and more to Slovakia even though there is more opposition than in Hungary. Also, most radical parties (in Germany, Italy, France, Austria, Romania, Bulgaria,...) are very pro-Russian/Putin. I'd rather expect these countries to adopt Russian policies and lose strength as a Union, in the NATO, and this is cheaper and perhaps more effective than waging another war. However, on the short run, I do expect Russia to start another invasion of Ukraine from Belarus. That country is much closer to Kiev and the industry centres of Ukraine. Russia will try to get hold of Ukraine, because the current US administration will most likely abandon it, unfortunately and very, very sadly, blaming Zelensky for his refusal to accept Putin keeping the occupied territories, not returning the stolen children of Ukrainian parents, and not paying restitutions. Already, Trump has never condemned Putin, but rather Ukraine for the war...what do you expect?